Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.176415 0.205866 0.238176 0.276181 0.319585 0.367529 0.424418
2026-01-25 0.126052 0.165455 0.213317 0.275375 0.353314 0.447525 0.569549
2026-02-01 0.096848 0.139119 0.194583 0.271912 0.376021 0.510288 0.695323
2026-02-08 0.077221 0.119733 0.179247 0.267360 0.392917 0.563522 0.810540
2026-02-15 0.061548 0.102295 0.162771 0.257229 0.398723 0.599924 0.903921
2026-02-22 0.055364 0.097591 0.163412 0.270902 0.438675 0.686254 1.073439
2026-03-01 0.046013 0.086074 0.151674 0.263652 0.445662 0.724157 1.174506
2026-03-08 0.038142 0.075568 0.139822 0.254217 0.447399 0.753172 1.263232
2026-03-15 0.032375 0.067722 0.131163 0.248626 0.454112 0.789616 1.365332
2026-03-22 0.029072 0.063861 0.128830 0.253384 0.478153 0.855252 1.518476
2026-03-29 0.026999 0.062027 0.129858 0.264063 0.513114 0.941230 1.710864
2026-04-05 0.024524 0.058946 0.128068 0.269187 0.538412 1.012401 1.882985
2026-04-12 0.021918 0.055228 0.124689 0.271162 0.558636 1.077235 2.050718
2026-04-19 0.019460 0.051419 0.120625 0.271331 0.575505 1.137510 2.215157
2026-04-26 0.017041 0.047251 0.115202 0.268014 0.585140 1.185101 2.359878
2026-05-03 0.014872 0.043265 0.109585 0.263532 0.591832 1.227396 2.497410
2026-05-10 0.012633 0.038655 0.101877 0.253533 0.586151 1.245447 2.590456
2026-05-17 0.012140 0.038562 0.104645 0.267029 0.630528 1.363466 2.881250
2026-05-24 0.010513 0.035033 0.098668 0.259873 0.630141 1.392910 3.002264
2026-05-31 0.008998 0.031498 0.092133 0.250561 0.624013 1.410069 3.099812
2026-06-07 0.007861 0.028839 0.087432 0.245043 0.625701 1.443143 3.231068
2026-06-14 0.007284 0.027810 0.086891 0.249739 0.651090 1.527426 3.471845
2026-06-21 0.006982 0.027610 0.088583 0.260279 0.690983 1.645118 3.788648